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NDP Majority or Hung Legislature? Are there any other factors?



All right what do the aggregate says of all these polls?



Just using Election Almanac Poll page on Alberta Elections 2015



We have



Province wide



AB Vote Alberta Wide n=1153 NDP 44% PCAA 20% WRP 19% Liberals 11% AB Party 6%

ROI n=557 NDP 38% PCAA 24% WRP 21% Liberals 10% AB PArty 4% ( ROI including undecided ndp 28% PCAA 18% WRP 15% Liberals 8% AP 3% others 2% und 26%)

Leger n=1014 NDP 38% PCAA 30% WRP 24% Liberals 6 AB PArty 1% OThers 1%

ThinkHQ n=2114 NDP 39% PCAA 20% WRP 27% Liberals 9% AB Party 4% other 1% (decided n=1501) undecided 13%

EKOS NDP 44.3% WRP 24.0% PCAA 22.5% Liberal 5.6% AB PArty 2.2% n=823

MainStreet n=3143 NDP 38% PCAA 18% WRP 23% Liberals 4% Alberta PArty 2% Undecided 14%

Forum n=1060 NDP 42% PCAA 21% WRP 24% Liberals 5% Alberta Party 5%



Edmonton



AB VOte Edmonton n=340 NDP 62% PCAA 14% WRP 12% Liberals 8% AB Party 4%

ROi n=178 Edmonton NDP 57% PCAA 19% WRP 11% Liberals 8% AB PArty 4%

Leger n=438 NDP 56% PC 21% WRP 16% Liberals 8% AB PArty 1%

ThinkHQ n=582 deciced voters NDP 56% PCaa 17% WRP 17% Liberals 8% undecided 11%

EKOS NDP 59% PCAA 19% WRP 18% Liberal 2% AB PArty 0%

Mainstreet n=1040 NDP 66% PC 14% WRP 7% Liberal 3% AB Party 1% undecided 7%

Forum n=306 NDP 55% PC 19% WRP 13% Liberals 7% AB Party 5%



Calgary



AB Vote Calgary n=380 NDP 37% PCAA 24% WRP 20% Liberals 15% AB Party 6%

ROI n=184 NDP 28% PCAA 32 % WRP 24% Liberals 15% AB Party 3%

Leger n=448 NDP 30% PCAA 33% WRP 26% Liberals 9% AB Party 2%

ThinkHQ n=641 NDP 31% PCAA 23% WRP 28% Liberals 11% ABPArty 6% undecided 13%

EKOS NDP 41% PC 22% WRP 22% Liberals 9% AB Party 6%

Mainstreet n=1061 NDP 30% PCAA 21% WRP 22% Liberals 9% AB Party 4% undecided 14%

Forum n=323 NDP 37% PCAA 21% WRP 26% Liberals 6% Alberta Party 6%



Outside Edmonton and Calgary



AB Vote Outside Edm and Cgy n=433 NDP 37% PCAA 20% WRP 35% Liberals 11% AB Party 6%

ROI n=195 NDP 34% PCAA 22% WRP 28% Liberals 8% AB PArty 5%

Leger n=294 NDP 30% PCAA 34% WRP 28% Liberals 4% AB PArty 2%

Mainstreet n=1042 NDP 33% WRP 28% PCAA 18% Liberals 3% Alberta PArty 2% undecided 16%

EKOS NDP 36% WRP 31% PC 26% Liberals 5% AB PArty 1%



Interesting note on the EKOS/Corus/Global Poll preview week to voting



The poll showed Wildrose supporters were the most committed to their party, with Liberal and Alberta Party supporters the most likely to change their vote:



NDP supporters – 51 per cent have made up their mind, while 49 per cent could change their mind.

Wildrose supporters – 64 per cent have made up their mind, while 36 per cent could change their mind.

PC supporters – 54 per cent have made up their mind, while 46 per cent could change their mind.

Liberal supporters – 25 per cent have made up their mind, while 75 per cent could change their mind.

Alberta Party supporters – 31 per cent have made up their mind, while 70 per cent could change their mind.





EKOS itself reveals that based on Federal support



Liberal PArty of Canada supporters



NDP 47% Liberals 21% PC 19% Alberta PArty 8% Wildrose 4% HUH??!!



Conservative PArty of Canada supporters



PC 46% WRP 37% NDP 11% Liberals 3% Alberta PArty 3%



NDP federally in Alberta



NDP 86% WRP 8% PCAA 4% Liberal 1% Alberta PArty 1%



Federal Greens in Alberta



NDP 47% Green 27% Liberal 5% PCAA 2% Green 2%









ThinkHQ





Click 1 ab Vote for their poll.



Click ROI



Click Leger



Click ThinkHQ



EKOS/GLobal/Corus Click Global/Corus and Ekos report



May 4 Ekos MAy 4



Click MainStreet



Click Forum Research



Overall, the NDP are PERCEIVED to lead. The reality is that you choose to have a Liberal Majority, an NDP MAjority, a PC majority, a Wildrose MAjority or a minorty government. Get out and vote and MAke IT COUNT!!